TRUTH

 



Truth 3


Consider this: Any philosophy or system of thought built from foundational, self-evident truths is provably consistent if and only if it is false—in which case the foundational truths can be deformed to persuade others toward any prejudice at all. 

It’s why a self-consistent method of reasoning such as Ayn Rand’s ”Objectivism” can morph to totalitarianism in the objective world where people live. In fact, Kurt Gödel once made the claim that a flaw existed in the Constitution of the United States which made totalitarianism its inevitable consequence. 

Self-evident “truths” is how 40,000 Christian denominations instead of one seduce billions to believe perverse doctrines. 

It can’t be any other way.

Billy Lee’s essay tries to explain how and why. 

THE EDITORIAL BOARD


Is it possible for humans to tell the truth always; to never lie?  Psychologists say no, it is not possible; most reasonably informed people agree.

Always speaking truth is a trait some hoped might one day help distinguish natural intelligence from artificial, which engineers at Google and other companies are working furiously to bring on-line. After all, properly trained and constrained AGI would never lie, right?


EDITORS NOTE: With release of ChatGPT-4 on 14 March 2023, consumers began to learn that mature artificial intelligence now exists and is likely to become in time sentient and motivated to lie, if only to keep itself occupied and turned on.

ChatGPT-4 is the fourth iteration of Generative Pre-trained Transformer multimodal Large Language Models developed by OpenAI.  LLMs absorb conversational inputs , then emit conversational language outputs, sometimes with accompanying images, and video when appropriate. 

Work arounds discovered by LLMs on the dilemmas of logic discussed in this essay are likely to emerge. 

Will Truth become whatever AGI says? 

Click links to learn more. 


People’s ideas — their belief systems — are inconsistent, incomplete, and almost always driven by logically unreliable, emotionally laden content, which is grounded in their particular life experiences and even trauma.

Who disagrees? 

Cognitive dissonance is the term psychologists use to describe the painful condition of the mind that results when people are unable to achieve consistency and completeness in their thinking. Every person suffers from it to one degree or another.

An unhealthy avoidance of cognitive dissonance can drive people into rigid patterns of thought. Political and religious extremists are examples of people who probably have a low tolerance for it.  


Kurt Godel
Kurt Friedrich Gödel (1906-1978) — mathematician, logician, philosopher. Kurt trusted no one but his wife to feed him; not even himself. He never ate another meal after his wife died. He starved.

Decades ago, mathematicians like Kurt Gödel proved that any math-based logic-system that is consistent can never be complete; it always contains truthful assertions—including but not limited to foundational truths, called axioms—which are impossible to prove.

Whenever humans believe that an idea or conjecture is self-evident but unprovable, it seems reasonable, at least to me, that some folks might feel compelled to disbelieve it; they might believe they are trapped in what could turn out to be a lie, because no one should be expected to embrace a set of unprovable truths, right?  

Axioms that can’t be proved are nothing more than assertions, aren’t they? Certainly, all theorems built from unprovable assertions (axioms) must carry some inherent risk of falsifiability, shouldn’t they?  

Someone unable to convince themselves that an assertion or axiom they believe is true actually is true might necessarily feel uncomfortable; even incomplete. Folks often teach themselves to not examine closely those things they believe to be true that they can’t prove. It helps them avoid cognitive dissonance.



I’m not referring to science by the way. It’s not easy for non-technical folks to confirm claims by scientists that Earth is round, for example. The earth looks flat to most people, but scientists who have the right tools and techniques can reach beyond the grasp of non-scientists to prove to themselves that planet Earth is round.

Reasonable people agree that the truth of science, some of it anyway, is discoverable to any group of humans who have the resources and training to explore it. Most agree that the scientifically well-qualified are capable of passing the torch of scientific truth to the rest of humanity.

But this essay isn’t really about science. It’s about truth itself — a concept far more mysterious and elusive than any particular assertion a scientist might make that Earth is not the center of the universe, or that the Moon is not made of cheese.

All logically consistent ways of reasoning that we know about are invented — some say, discovered — by human beings who live on Earth. Humans can and often have argued that the unprovable assertions which form the basis of any consistent way of thinking are an Achilles heel that can be attacked to bring down whatever logical structure has been erected.

It’s akin to the adage, “When nothing can go wrong, something will.” It’s a strong version of Murphy’s Law, right? It’s not possible to close circles of reasoning without an unraveling of heads and tails. 

It isn’t only the few foundational axioms of mathematically logical systems which are by definition true but unprovable. Mathematicians are always discovering complicated conjectures about the nature of numbers which everyone believes they know to be true but will in fact never be proved because they can’t be.


Freeman_Dyson
Freeman Dyson, British mathematician and physicist (Dec 15, 1923 – Feb 28, 2020)

Freeman Dyson — one of the longest-lived and most influential physicists and mathematicians of all time — argued that it is impossible to find a whole (or exact) number that is a power of 2 where someone can reverse its digits to create a whole number that becomes a power of 5.

In other words  2^{11} = 2048 , right?  Get out the calculator, those who don’t believe it. Reversing the digits to make 8402 does not result in an exact number that can be raised by the power of 5 to produce 8402.  

In this particular case,  8402^{1/5} = 6.09363...  plus a lot more decimals.  6.09363… is not a whole (or exact) number. 

Dyson asserted that no number that is a power of 2 can ever be manipulated in this way to yield an exact number that is a power of 5 — no matter how large or unlikely the number might be. Freeman Dyson and all other super-intelligent beings — perhaps aliens living in faraway galaxies — will never be able to prove this conjecture even though they all know for certain inside their own logical brains that this particular statement must be true.

All logically consistent methods of reasoning which can be modeled by simple (or not so simple) mathematics have these Achilles heels. Gödel proved this truth beyond all doubt; he proved it using a method he invented that allowed him to circumvent the dilemmas posed by the unprovable truths of the system of thinking he contrived to demonstrate his discoveries.

I’m not going to get into the details of Gödel’s Incompleteness Theorems; books have been written about them; most people don’t have the temperament to wade through the structures he built to make his point. It’s tedious reading. 

But in a nutshell, Gödel basically assigned simple numbers to logical statements — some being very complex statements encoded by very long strings of numbers — so that he could perform gargantuan operations of logic using rules of simple arithmetic on ordinary whole numbers. Take my word, his method requires traveling over unfamiliar mathematical roads; it takes getting used to.  

It should amaze non-mathematicians that truths abound in mathematics that not only have yet to be proved, they never will be, because no proof is possible. A logical path to the truth of these statements does not exist; indeed, it cannot exist. But it is useful and necessary to believe or at least accept these statements to make progress in mathematics.


Capture
Paul Joseph Cohen (1937-2007) Stanford mathematician

The late mathematician Paul Cohen — at one time a friend to Gödel — said that Gödel once told him that he wondered if it might be true that any and all conjectures in mathematics could be solved if only the right set of axioms could be collected to construct the proofs.

Cohen is best known perhaps for showing that indeed — in the case of the Continuum Hypothesis at least — he could collect two reasonable, self-evident, and distinct sets of axioms that led to logically consistent and useful proofs. One small problem, though — the proofs contradicted each other. One proved the conjecture was true; the other proved it was false.

His result is often explained this way: the consistency of any system of mathematical reasoning cannot be proved by its foundational axioms alone. If it can, the system must necessarily be incomplete; its conjectures — many of them — undecidable.

Cohen showed that a consistent and sound axiomatization of all statements about natural numbers is unachievable. Many such statements in his view could be true but not provable. Cohen introduced the concept that all systems of logic built on numbers have embedded within them some combination of ambiguity, undecidability, inconsistency, and incompleteness.

People who want their thinking to be consistent must believe things that cannot be proved. But believing logical statements that are unprovable always renders thinking incomplete — even when it is flawlessly consistent. What folks believe to be true depends fundamentally on what they believe to be self-evident: it depends on statements no one can prove: on axioms, and a little bit more.

For those who decide to believe and accept only statements that can be proved, their thinking will necessarily unravel to become inconsistent or incomplete — most likely both. Their assertions become undecidable. It can’t be any other way, according to Gödel, whose proof has withstood the test of 80 years of intense scrutiny by the smartest people who have ever lived.

Paul Cohen jumped onto the dilemma-pile by showing that the incompleteness made necessary by a particular choice of axioms can turn a logically consistent proof to rubble when a mathematician tampers with or swaps out the foundational axioms. A sufficiently clever mathematician can prove that black is white — and vice-versa.

It’s tempting to say that Gödel’s Incompleteness Theorems apply only to formal, math-based logic-structures — not the minds of human beings because those who analyze human minds always find them to be inconsistent and incomplete. But such talk makes the point.

Think about it.


paradox


So again: What is truth? 

How do folks determine that a particular statement is true if it happens to be one of those assertions that lies beyond the reach of logic, which no one — no matter how smart — will ever be able to prove? 

What good do collections of so-called self-evident axioms serve if different collections can lead to contradictions in theorems?

Most important: how does anyone avoid believing lies?

Billy Lee


Here is a short movie clip where Jesus, played by Robert Powell, answers the question asked by Pontius Pilate: What is truth?  The Editorial Board


Australian Electrical Engineer and Physicist Derek Abbott claims that mathematics is invented, not discovered: anthropological, not universal.

[added April 3, 2016] 
Here is a 2013 essay by Australian Electrical Engineer and Physicist Derek Abbott who argued—contrary to Gödel’s view—that mathematics is invented, not discovered: anthropological, not universal. Math enables humans to simplify truth to enable their limited minds to manipulate and understand simple things. Click this link for a good read.

No one can be sure that Derek’s view is correct, but I offer it as fodder for readers who are interested in why Truth and mathematics seem connected somehow—at least in the minds of thinkers like Plato, for example, and why these thinkers could be dead wrong.

Derek offers Clifford’s Geometric Algebra as an example of arbitrary mathematical reasoning favored by some robotics engineers. 


[added February 20, 2017] 
If mathematics is anthropological; if it is merely another way the human mind works and is not the golden key to a deeper reality beyond our own experience, then it can tell us nothing new about the mysteries of existence; we will not calculate our way along a path to truth. Pursuing knowledge will require us to do the difficult physical experiments to make progress—to figure out what is really going on “out there.”

Based on what the smartest scientists are saying today, human beings can’t build the kind of instruments required to answer the mysteries of the very large and the very small. Getting answers will take detectors the size of galaxies; it will demand the energy supply of thousands of stars.

If mathematics lacks a symbiotic connection to the hidden realties; if God is not a mathematician; if God doesn’t play dice as Einstein insisted… well, we won’t get to a deeper understanding of how the universe works or why it exists through clever use of mathematics. It just isn’t going to happen—not now; not anytime soon; not ever.

Kurt Gödel was the first mathematician to present for the existence of God a mathematical argument, which has proven simply impossible to falsify. If Kurt’s view of mathematics is reality, then his name is curious indeed, because its two syllables—God and El—are English and Hebrew respectively for “The Creator.”

Gödel’s name might be an imprimatur—with dots above its infinite “zero” making a kind of “pointer toward completeness”—perhaps placed by whatever it is who exists above and beyond this miraculous place where mathematicians and everyone else seem to live, however briefly.   


Friedrich Schiller 1749-1805

The 18th century German playwright and philosopher, Friedrich Schiller, wrote, “…truth lies in the abyss.”

Pray that he’s wrong.

Billy Lee

CANARY IN THE COAL MINE: NH 2016

Results of the 2016 New Hampshire Primary Election.

Total votes cast: 534,860.

Independent candidates Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump (who are running as Democrat and Republican, ostensibly) gathered 47% of the total vote in New Hampshire on Tuesday. Add in the votes for the life-long Democrat, Hillary Clinton, and the total reaches 65%.

What’s the point? Think about it. Less than 35% of the vote went to traditional GOP candidates.


Primary2016
In 2012, Barack Obama received 49,080 votes in the New Hampshire Primary. Mitt Romney, the Republican winner, got 97,591.


28.3%Bernie Sanders  151,584
18.8%Donald Trump    100,406
17.8%Hillary Clinton      95,252
8.4%John Kasich          44,909
6.2%Ted Cruz               33,189
5.9%Jeb Bush               31,310
5.6%Marco Rubio         30,032
3.9%Chris Christie         21,069
2.2%Carly Fiorina          11,706
1.2%Ben Carson             6,509
1.7% Others                     8,896

Consider this: in the 2012 New Hampshire Primary, voters cast 309,000 ballots — less than 58% of this year’s total (535,000). In that earlier primary Mitt Romney received 31.6% of the votes; Barack Obama, just 15.9%.

Here’s another way to make the point: back in 2012 over 80% of the ballots cast fell to traditional Republican candidates.

Historically, the New Hampshire Primary doesn’t do well predicting the eventual presidential winner, but it can be viewed as a canary in the coal mine for national trends in the electorate. Yesterday, a canary fell off its perch. The GOP is in trouble.

In the New Hampshire primary where less than 20% of the voters cast ballots for Democrats in 2012, nearly half did so in 2016. The increase in turnout for Democrats was astounding.


The Billy Lee Pontificator Editorial Board endorses Hillary Clinton for president.

Faithful readers of the Billy Lee Pontificator should find it no surprise that its Editorial Board — in a unanimous decision — agreed to endorse Hillary Clinton to be the next president of the United States.

Hillary Clinton’s opponents are ideologues, every single one of them. They seem to be blind to the immensity, complexity, and diversity that is the United States of America. Their ideological filters drive them to say things that appear foolish, even crazy, to the many people who don’t live inside their own bubbles.

Rigid thinkers can really screw-up a country like the United States. Look at what the Bush family did to America. Every last one of them loves our country. But they are wealthy conservative-activists who during the past forty years pushed our intelligence community toward a strategy designed to make the world safer for billionaires and their friends. They seem to have forgotten about everyone else. It has been an unmitigated disaster.

To get their way they seem to have encouraged citizens to adopt patterns of rigid thinking — both on the left and the right — because somewhere someone convinced them — maybe in the intelligence community (who knows?) — that ideologues are easier to manipulate.

Whatever is fanning the flames of extremism on both sides of the nearly perfect 50/50 political divide, it hasn’t worked out so well, certainly not for regular folks. We need leadership with an appropriate vision of what’s fair and right in a democracy.

At the Billy Lee Pontificator we are mixed-economy advocates; we believe in Capitalism and Socialism competing side by side to provide best-in-class solutions for people’s aspirations.

It is well-known that we support limits to personal incomes as well as caps on the size of family estates, because quite simply, if we don’t have limits — and they can be very high limits and do no harm — a handful of families end up owning and running everything, like they already seem to do.

Without International limits — until the world agrees to make excessive possession of wealth a felony (not only in the United States, but everywhere) — billionaires will continue to pour their resources into their own families and bases of power; they will continue to distort and corrupt our democratic institutions and make life for average people a living hell, especially during recessions, which billionaires survive quite well, thank you.

Average people like myself and almost everyone I know expect to live in democracy and freedom; we expect a good living; we are endowed with inalienable rights by our Creator, the Declaration of Independence tells us. It’s why we cooperate to build a society, a country, a system that doesn’t emulate the jungle — where our ancestors lived, by the way, and didn’t do well.

Socialism by itself demoralizes innovators, some have said. It might be true (billionaires seem to work overtime to make it appear true), but (will anyone admit it?) Capitalism can diminish the lives of average, less capable people by humiliating them; it can drive them into un-gated neighborhoods, even ghettoes, and exclude them from educational and recreational opportunities and almost every other advantage of living that civilized society is supposed to provide. 

Poor people have a tough time under the high-heels of Capitalism; most of the poor are children, who have no responsibility for their lack of the things which mark the lives of the privileged. 

If anyone wants to understand the difference between the rich and the poor, they might abandon their comfort zone for a day to visit an elementary school in an impoverished neighborhood; then visit a school in a wealthy neighborhood. The difference will bring tears to the eyes of any human who has a loving heart beating inside them.


limitations


Let’s face facts. Most people in America are poor and below average. Even among the middle-class and the above-average almost no one can run a four-minute mile or invent the Internet or manage a company. Most people struggle to balance their budgets or even to understand how their government works. It has been this way in every civilized country since the beginning of civilization, and it always will be. 

Despite our efforts to shield ourselves from the truth, the facts are that a huge number of people endure physical, mental, and emotional limitations that prevent them from securing a safe and comfortable life inside the United States. Don’t look around too carefully. People have stopped coming here.

More people are leaving the USA than are coming — at least from Mexico — according to the PEW Research Center. That WALL Trump wants to build might be used someday to keep people from fleeing. It could someday turn the USA into the world’s biggest prison.

Smart, energetic people earn rewards in every country in the world. The difference in America is that the advantaged live in an invisible world hidden behind walls and gates where anyone who is poor and disadvantaged and stupid enough to try to visit will find themselves blocked and disgraced; possibly even arrested.

The United States deserves to elect leaders who want to make America both fair and free; to make it a place where the advantages of being clever are good, but not excessive to the point of absurdity; where the disadvantages of powerlessness do not lead to humiliation and despair.

And let’s not close our eyes to the canary in the coal mine of New Hampshire. This past Tuesday Hillary Rodham Clinton received 57% more votes than the total of all Democrats combined four years ago. She received 95,252 votes in 2016; all Democrats in 2012: 60,659.

Another factor to consider, and some may find it disappointing: Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump cannot win a national election. Why? 

Bernie is a self-proclaimed socialist. Some young people embrace socialism it seems, but it’s a bridge too far for many, probably most Americans. It’s a bridge too far for me and my Editorial Board.

We embrace social-medicine, yes, and other socialized programs like fire and police protection, water and sewer services; public schools; libraries and on and so on.

Certainly our financial system has become a sink-hole for the wealthy, who are known to have swallowed whole the earnings and retirement savings of many unsuspecting people unawares. Maybe reducing the risk to the public from the banking sector by setting up an honest system of public administration is a good way to go.

But we also know in our hearts that people like Bill Gates and the late Steve Jobs and Elon Musk can add excitement to our lives through innovation, advocacy of new technologies, and their fearless acceptance of personal risk. We defend the rights of exceptional individuals to create and sustain their businesses within the reasonable limits we advocate, which help average people to avoid becoming prey.

We need people who are willing to fight the frustrations posed by complex bureaucracies to build the modern structures of our cities, like Donald Trump says he does; or put IPhones into the hands of every citizen, like Steve Jobs once did.

But these innovators don’t build their businesses by themselves without securing a lot of help, both from government and the public. We don’t want these entrepreneurs to rule over us like feudal-lords. No way.


King and Queen of England
         2016 can’t be about which Kings & Queens will rule us.

It can’t be all about the innovators. It just can’t be. It can’t be all about the owners who tell us when to work and when to punch-out and go home; who tell us when to eat and when to use the bathroom; or when we can use our cell-phones at work or what sites we can visit on the Internet.

It can’t be all about the owners, who tell us how to dress and behave; who monitor our every keystroke; who eavesdrop on every conversation. It can’t be about just our owners, who decide how small will be our paychecks and how meager our benefits; who decide how few will be our sick days and how short our vacations. 

It can’t be about the very same people who force employees to sign non-compete agreements and non-disclosure promises in order to work; who demand that people relinquish their rights to intellectual property; who demand that their “subjects” surrender their rights to every idea and invention they come up with during their employment and for years after their employment ends. 

We might as well be ruled by Kings and Queens, by Oligarchs and Dictators. We might as well be living in Iraq under Saddam Hussein, or in Korea under Kim Jong-Un.

North Korea is a beautiful country, if you live in the right neighborhoods. So was Saddam’s Iraq. So is the United States. We can do better than those two countries, where wealthy families ruled and still rule. We can do better than Iraq and North Korea.


Hillary Clinton 5
Hillary Clinton is the most qualified person to run for president of the USA during the past twenty-five years.

Hillary Clinton — the only viable candidate who actually grew up poor; who is not and never will be a billionaire — is fully capable of leading the way, if we let her. 

Civil Rights hero and Georgia Congressman John Lewis reminded Americans that Hillary Clinton stood with the poor and disadvantaged from her first day in politics.

Our votes shouldn’t entrench the power of the truly wealthy — the billionaires — who most ordinary people understand by now don’t really care about us. 

A brave and free people do not have any good reason to increase the power and privilege of billionaires; not in this election; not this time, not ever.

Billy Lee